After the election: Looking at results Live

MPR News' full coverage of the 2018 midterm elections, including the latest breaking news, analysis and results.

  • Nationally it may be year of the woman. How about in Minnesota?

    Nationally, women are running in 54 percent of all districts, including 48 percent where women as major party candidates.
     
     
     
    All but one of Minnesota’s eight congressional districts are currently held by men. But with the election returns rolling in, we can already say that the number of women representing Minnesota in the U.S. House has doubled.
     
     
    -Craig Helmstetter, APM Research Lab
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  • On the air: Regarding Tim Walz beating Jeff Johnson "I hate to sound like a broken record, but it seems that it will be a classic midterm election for a sitting president in their first term. This will be a referendum on Donald Trump. Jeff Johnson chose to embrace President Trump wholeheartedly, not only in his positions but when the President came to Minnesota, he welcomed his endorsement, and I think that had a lot to do with how Minnesotans reacted tonight." Maureen Shaver @shavermo
     
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  •  

    10 p.m. poll closures: California, Hawaii, Idaho, Oregon, Washington

     

    This will likely be the earliest that the House will be called. There are seven big House races in California that could help put Democrats over the top for control of the House. Most of them are in Southern California, around Orange County. That had long been a GOP stronghold that flipped to Clinton in 2016. It's an area that serves as a pretty good example of Republicans' problems in the Trump era with highly educated voters in suburban areas, especially women.

     

    Democrats are also expected to pick up an open seat that Clinton won in Washington state that has been held by the GOP. But two other Republican women are fighting for their jobs there — Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers, House GOP Conference chair, and Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler, who was swept in with the tea party wave in 2010. Herrera Beutler is one of only three GOP Hispanic women in Congress. The other, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen of Florida, is retiring (and a third represents Puerto Rico but does not a vote).

     

    —NPR

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  • Race call: Tim Walz will be Minnesota's next governor

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  • Democrats chip away at GOP dominance in state governments


    Democrats took back the governor's offices in Illinois and Michigan on Tuesday, major steps in their nationwide strategy to reverse years of Republican gains in state capitols.
     
    In Michigan, a perennial presidential battleground state, Democrat Gretchen Whitmer defeated Republican Bill Schuette, upending years of Republican control in the state. The former legislative leader will become the second female governor in a state where Democrats heavily targeted other statewide and legislative offices.
     
    Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner in Illinois lost his bid for a second term to Democrat J.B. Pritzker. The billionaire appears to have capitalized not only on Rauner's lack of popularity but broader dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump.
     
    Democrats Andrew Cuomo in New York and Tom Wolf in Pennsylvania easily won re-election.
     
    Elsewhere, there was better news for Republicans.
     
    They celebrated the re-election of Gov. Larry Hogan in Maryland and Charlie Baker in Massachusetts, two moderates who remain popular in deeply Democratic states.
     
    Republicans are in control more often than not in state capitols across the country, but Democrats were trying to pull a little closer in elections Tuesday for governor and state legislature.
     
    There were no quick victories in the closely contested open governor's races in Florida and Georgia, two Deep South states where black candidates would break barriers if they win but faced Republicans who were drawing energy from their close alignment with Trump.
    Democrats were hoping enthusiasm among their voters also could flip governor's seats in Iowa and Kansas, as well as in the traditional battleground states of Michigan, Nevada, Ohio and Wisconsin.
     
    In all, voters were choosing 36 governors and 6,089 state legislators in general and special elections that have attracted record amounts of spending from national Democratic and Republican groups.
     
    The political parties are trying not only to win now, but also to put themselves in strong position for the elections two years from now that will determine which party will have the upper hand in redrawing congressional and state legislative districts.
     
    Voters also were deciding ballot measures in four states — Colorado, Michigan, Missouri and Utah — that propose to overhaul the redistricting process and reduce the likelihood of partisan gerrymandering by either major party.
     
    Republicans entered Tuesday's election with a sizable advantage, controlling two-thirds of the 99 state legislative chambers and 33 governors' offices. The GOP held a trifecta of power in 25 states, compared with just eight for Democrats.
     
    Parties that fully control the legislative and executive branches can enact policies that might not pass with a divided government. For example, Missouri's Republican trifecta enacted a right-to-work law limiting union powers that was repealed in a voter referendum in August. California's Democratic-dominated Legislature, with the help of one Republican lawmaker, enacted a 12-cent gas tax hike to pay for road repairs. That law faced a referendum seeking to repeal it on Tuesday's ballot.
     
    History suggests Democrats are likely to make gains during the first midterm election involving Trump. Some of Democrats' best chances at new trifectas were in Illinois and New Mexico, where they already control both legislative chambers and were attempting to flip the governor's office.
     
    In New York, even a slight gain by Democrats could wrest the state Senate from Republicans and thus give Democrats a governing trifecta. Republicans were largely on defense but also were angling for gains in a few traditionally Democratic states, such Connecticut.
    A large-scale reversal of state political fortunes appeared to be a long shot.
     
    "It's a year that could be good for Dems," said Jon Thompson, a spokesman for the Republican Governors Association. "But Republicans are still in a good position to hold a large majority of governorships."
     
    The governor's races have extra emphasis in 28 states where the winners will serve four-year terms with the potential power to approve or reject district boundaries drawn for Congress or state legislatures.
     
    The Democratic Governors Association has focused on nine swing states — Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — where it believes the governorships could be pivotal in congressional redistricting. Republicans currently hold trifectas in Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin. The rest have split partisan control.
     
    "Those states together are majority-makers in Congress," said Jared Leopold, a spokesman for the Democratic Governors Association. "If you can elect Democrats in a good portion of those states, you can prevent Republicans from doing the same kind of gerrymandering in 2021 that they did in 2011."
     
    As of mid-October, the Democratic Governors Association and its affiliated entities had raised $122 million during the past two years — a record outdone only by the Republican Governors Association's new high mark of at least $156 million.
     
    The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee and Republican State Leadership Committee, which focus on state races, also set record fundraising targets. The National Democratic Redistricting Committee, led by former Obama administration Attorney General Eric Holder, has pumped additional money into state races viewed as critical in future redistricting decisions.
     
    Although most state lawmakers responsible for redistricting will be elected in 2020, voters on Tuesday were electing more than 800 state lawmakers in about two dozen states to four-year terms where they could play a role in approving new congressional or state legislative districts.
     
    -- David Lieb, Associated Press
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  • Kentucky clerk who refused to issue gay marriage licenses loses

     
    The Kentucky clerk who went to jail in 2015 for refusing to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples has lost her bid for a second term.

    Republican incumbent Kim Davis was defeated by Democrat Elwood Caudill Jr. in Tuesday's election for clerk of Rowan County in northeastern Kentucky.

    Caudill is well known in the county. He lost to Davis by just 23 votes in the 2014 Democratic primary. Davis later switched to the GOP.

    Davis went from obscure local official to a national figure when she stopped issuing marriage licenses days after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the U.S. Constitution guarantees same-sex couples the right to marry. Davis cited her religious beliefs for her action, saying she was acting under "God's authority."
     
    —AP
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  • DFL sees early Election Day momentum in push to retake MN House

    Democrats hoping to retake control of the Minnesota Legislature Tuesday saw early momentum swing their way, flipping four of the 11 seats they need for a House majority.
     
    The entire 134-seat Minnesota House is on the Election Day ballot, and an unexpected special election for a single seat in the state Senate will decide which party controls that chamber next year.
     
    Republicans went into Election Day with a 77-57 majority in the House. Democrats, though, were bullish about their chances to win back the majority this fall in a midterm where more Democratic voters could turn out to voice their opposition to President Donald Trump.
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  • Dems flip a string of GOP seats in early House returns
     

    WASHINGTON (AP) — The Democrats picked up at least 10 Republican-held House seats across the eastern half of the country in early returns Tuesday but fell short in a closely watched race in Kentucky as they fought to wrest control of the chamber from the GOP.

    Democrats needed a net gain of 23 seats to break the Republicans' eight-year hold on the House and gain a check on President Donald Trump.

    The Democratic gains included several suburban districts eyed for turnover because they were won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. In the Miami area, former Clinton administration Cabinet member Donna Shalala won an open seat, while GOP Rep. Carlos Curbelo lost his bid for a third term in another district.

    As Election Day unfolded, Democrats were increasingly confident, predicting a House majority on the strength of voter enthusiasm, robust fundraising and unusually fresh candidates.
    Democratic control of the House would break the GOP's monopoly on power in Washington and would almost certainly bring an onslaught of investigations of Trump's businesses and his administration.

    "I feel confident we will win," House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi said as the polls opened.
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  • On the air: "How much credit does Dean Phillips get?" Mike Mulcahy @MPRsMikeMulcahy
    "He ran a very good campaign. He's been running for a long time, and full time. And I think his message was very strong. But when we look at those seats tonight, the legislative seats, Republicans are struggling. And when you've never run for office, you don't have a record." Maureen Shaver @shavermo
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  • On the air: "Erik Paulsen tried to distance himself from Trump. He even said he didn't vote for Trump." Mike Mulcahy   @MPRsMikeMulcahy
    "Yes, but it's difficult to do when he carried a lot of water on the tax bill and other bills, frankly, for Speaker Ryan. Hillary Clinton carried Erik's district two years ago by nine percentage points. He outperformed the margin there. Everyone knew, Republicans knew this was going to be an uphill climb." Maureen Shaver  @shavermo
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  • Amy Klobuchar gives her re-election victory speech

     
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  • White House says Dem wave may just be a 'ripple'

    White House spokeswoman Sarah Huckabee Sanders says a Democratic wave may look more like a "ripple."

    Sanders spoke to reporters at the White House Tuesday night, as election returns were still coming in. She says, "Maybe you get a ripple but I certainly don't think that there's a blue wave."

    She says there is still a "long way to go," but the White House feels "good about where we are right now."

    Should Republicans lose the House, Sanders says the president's agenda is not going to change.

    Speaking on Fox News, Sanders said the candidates that Trump campaigned for are doing well. She also said that if Republicans should lose the House, Democrats should try to work across the aisle.
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  • On the air: "It's interesting that the three statewide candidates, Klobuchar, Smith and Walz, have opened up margins of over 200,000 votes in Hennepin County. Those are big margins to close within smaller counties. For example, if you look at Anoka County, Jeff Johnson has about a 2,000 lead there. You're not going to do it with 2-3,000 votes. He needs to have some bigger numbers pretty quick here." ~Todd Rapp  @toddrapp
     
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  • 9 p.m. poll closures: Iowa, Montana, Nevada, Utah


    Results from the West will begin to roll in, and there are key Senate races to watch in Montana and Nevada. Democratic Sen. Jon Tester is a slight favorite in a state Trump won by 20 points. But Democrats are on offense in Nevada, the one competitive state that Clinton carried with a GOP Senate incumbent. If Democrats want any chance at making gains in the Senate, Nevada is a must-win.

    Iowa offers a toss-up governor's race and several House contests to watch. Democrats expect to flip the 1st District, and the 3rd District with Rep. David Young is a toss-up. A late race to come on the board is the seat held by GOP Rep. Steve King in the 4th District. The controversial lawmaker drew a rebuke last week from the head of the GOP committee tasked with electing Republicans to the Senate for his racially offensive comments and ties to white supremacist organizations.

    In Utah, get ready for a poll-close call that announces Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican presidential nominee, as the next senator from Utah. Republicans hope he can help GOP Rep. Mia Love over the line in her toss-up race in the 4th District.

    —NPR
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  • On the air: "I think the two most important races to look at are the 2nd and the 8th. The 2nd because the numbers were really close to the numbers in Clinton and Trump in 2016, and I'm looking at the 8th because he (Trump) dominated the 8th two years ago, but Rick Nolan squeaked out a victory. It'll be interesting to see if Pete Stauber can get Trump like numbers, especially in St. Louis and Itasca counties." ~Todd Rapp  @toddrapp
     
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  • Scene report: DFL election night party in St. Paul

     
    Photo by Evan Frost | MPR News
     
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  • On the air: "Remember in 2016, President Trump made it a referendum on Hillary Clinton. This year he embraced that it's a referendum on himself." ~Todd Rapp  @toddrapp
     
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  • On the air: "We have four competitive congressional races in Minnesota. Many people are asking if these are referendums on President Trump. The early numbers that we are seeing from with Congressman Paulsen, that could be the case. We're trying to keep tabs on some of the legislative races in the Western suburbs. They too are starting to struggle."  ~Maureen Shaver  @shavermo
     
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  • Minnesota’s No. 1 — will it stay that way?

    According to data assembled by Minnesota Compass, we were No. 1 in voter turnout in 2016. With a potentially record-breaking midterm turnout nationwide, we’ll see if we can hang on.
     
     
     
    -Craig Helmstetter, APM Research Lab
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